China Travel Branding

China Traveller

August 2009

While health officials continue to caution that H1N1 swine flu remains a serious risk to all nations one would be forgiven for thinking otherwise considering the lax attitude adopted by seemingly all travellers today. The shock of worst case scenario swine flu projections no doubt caused initial self restricting measures but there currently seems to be little dampening effect on regional and international travel due to any health concern.

Attitudes towards virus outbreaks seem to have softened a degree since SARS all but obliterated travel in Hong Kong and on the Mainland in 2003. Those who lived in Beijing during the height of 100 people getting infected with SARS per day back then will remember the damaging effects of bringing great swathes of the economy to a grinding halt, especially the travel and leisure industry.

Generally speaking, China’s consumers can be described as anything but risk prone adventurers. The government’s stringent measures to prevent an H1N1 epidemic, the multiple temperature measurements before getting out of the airport for all passengers and the strict quarantine of potentially affected passengers spoke volumes of China’s health official’s learning curve since SARS. Furthermore, a number of Chinese tour operators were quick to cancel trips to North America immediately upon the H1N1 outbreak in Mexico reinforcing the nations cautious attitude. China’s outbound tourism industry is still dominated by ADS styled group travel, which by definition is a risk managed form of travel. The consequences of group travel market domination are that cancellations due to perceived risk will be total as opposed to independent travellers who might still weigh up the pro’s (including elements articulated by the destination’s crisis communications team) and con’s individually. This further compounds a potential damaging period for affected destinations.      

A number of leading health authorities have started to voice their concern that amid global warming, virus outbreaks similar to SARS and H1N1 will become more routine. While initial outbreaks will result in initial short-term panic, human nature dictates that over time consumers will start to become accustomed to such outbreaks and view such disruptions as unavoidable, yet temporary, inconveniences rather than life threatening pandemics. Assuming that this risk adverse nation, China, can acclimatise to such risks is a very liberal assumption however (especially with the tour operators making the decision), and it will nevertheless result in temporary, yet significant, spikes in travel, creating havoc for the industry.

Political instability also serves as an equally strong risk to tourism, of which Thailand must be the textbook example of a great travel destination plagued by divisions that have negatively impacted on tourist arrival numbers. Chinese arrivals to Thailand experienced a significant drop of 38% for the first quarter of 2009 following the protest enforced closure of Bangkok’s main airport last year while the ASEAN summit protests which prevented the free movement of world leaders including President Hu Jintao was sufficient evidence that Thailand remained a destination of choice only if you didn’t mind risk being holed up in an airport or hotel for a few extra days. Since then the Thai authorities have been slowly reclaiming ground through aggressive campaigns and the relaxing of visa restrictions that are already paying dividends. To be sure, Thai authorities are not promising an end to the disruptions, but their strategy of attacking the wallet and ease of use will perhaps shorten consumer’s memories when picking a holiday. 

A particular risk when targeting China is furthermore that of bilateral relations political risk. The collective urge to travel to Paris has lost its sparkle somewhat since Parisian demonstrators took it upon themselves to disrupt the Beijing Olympics torch relay through their capital. Even most recently, following Turkey’s Prime Minister’s declaration that the upheavals in Xinjiang could not be described as anything other than a ‘kind of genocide’, the Chinese official diplomatic notes of protest filtered rapidly through to its citizens that under no circumstances was Turkey to be promoted or engaged with inside China so long as bilateral tensions remained in place.

The combination of the perception of lack of development and outright personal danger has stifled Chinese outbound travel to numerous regions including the Middle East, Africa and South America. Mexico serves as a good example here where despite its renowned beautiful surroundings the destination is generally avoided by Chinese tourists out of fears for person safety from criminal elements whilst their North American and European counterparts take it more in their stride. While the reporting of a murder in Mexico does make the average Western tourist think twice about a Christmas getaway, the publicised news of a Chinese person being singled out in a criminal act serves as a progressively powerful deterrent.

Nothing tests a destination’s crisis communications system more than a wholly unexpected and immediate disaster however. Although the crisis can take on a number of forms, if the cause was man made and the consequence of extreme negligence or latent discrimination (i.e. avoidable) destinations with the appropriate systems in place will without doubt fare better than the unprepared.   

Crisis’ of all shapes and sizes catch those in responsible positions either by complete surprise or the magnitude of the crisis is the surprising factor. Either way they will not disappear as a threatening source to the reputation of destination’s we have been tasked to protect, the ‘calm’ we are enjoying right now would be a good time to prepare for the next storm to strike.