country-brand-index-2009China Traveller

November 2009

 

 

 

Q: Background on the Country Brand Index?

A: This is the fifth consecutive year of the Country Brand Index study. The methodology is based on a three tier approach relying on 1) research involving approximately 3,000 international business and leisure travellers from nine different countries; 2) an expert panel of 47 persons and; 3) analysis of third party data such as World Economic Forum papers etc.

 

In addition to measuring 29 specific associations or attributes of countries, we also assess whether those associations in fact lead to preference for that country using our Hierarchical Decision Model, which tracks overall awareness through associations, preference and ultimately advocacy. This is what separates the FutureBrand Country Brand Index from other research studies. Other indexes measure brand image only, while we track the effectiveness of the brand in creating preference and advocacy, as such ours measures actual brand strength. Traditionally countries have been promoted for the purpose of attracting tourism, investment and trade in a series of communications programs, and therefore conducted by governments as stand alone marketing investments but now a days country brands should generate more comprehensive and integrated stories of what they have to offer. Numerous governments are furthermore grasping between the differences of marketing, branding and sales. It is clear that marketing creates positive conditions for sales to occur, but branding creates the overall framework for marketing to play its role within. For example, in the 2009 Country Brand Index Australia fell from 1st (2008 Top Country Branding Ranking) to 3rd. If one looks closer at the data it is clear that a key drop was recorded in the ‘Friendliness of Locals’ attribute, from 5th in 2008 to 14th in 2009. During that period there were negative reports of Asian students being harmed as well as international refugee issues which raised eyebrows internationally. As such the drop from 1st to 3rd is not surprising.

 

Most governments are not structured and strategically equipped for pulling their various departments together, with each of their various departments working in isolation of one another. The instinctive competition for limited resources ensures that little cooperation is in place, and this is the significant country brand challenge – how to structure the brand management of the country. 

 

Q: Despite the successful hosting of the 2008 Beijing Olympics China does not feature prominently?

A: The 2008 Country Brand Index data was collected just prior to the Olympics while the 2009 CBI data was collected post Olympics, so we do get a good picture of the impact. Major events such as the hosting of an Olympic Games have a two-fold impact of 1) drawing many visitors to that country and; 2) attracting a large TV audience, and as such China had high visibility. This visibility is much more powerful than traditional advertising campaigns based around 30 second commercials and paid media. What captures people’s imagination is what the country is really like, the culture, the authenticity, what the normal people are really like etc., these attributes are conveyed very powerfully through major events. A further example is what is expected for South Africa in hosting the 2010 FIFA World Cup, a big jump in brand power from 2008 to 2009. In the overall ranking South Africa jumped from 59th to 37th in 2009 while the ‘Desire to Visit’ attribute recorded a jump of 33rd place to 18th position for 2009 over 2008.

 

China for its part jumped from 56th position to 48th for the overall branding ranking in 2009. China’s overall image association is currently deeper, richer and more authentic due to its received exposure. The conjured up images of Beijing a mere four years ago included the Forbidden City, Temple of Heaven and Tiananmen Square (with possible negative connotations) whilst now it is viewed as a city of incredible skyscrapers and amazing sports complexes (Birds Nest & Water Cube) to the point that Beijing is now viewed as a mixture of modern and traditional. The attributes of ‘Friendliness of Locals’ increased from 68th to 54th while ‘Outdoor Activities & Sports’ also improved from 71st to 63rd, ‘Shopping’ increased (22nd to 2009’s 16th) and ‘Ease to do Business’ catapulted from 54th to 31st. As you can see from this data China is a classic case of improving weaknesses as opposed to increasing brand strengths.

 

China has thus made great strides but it is vital for them to maintain the momentum. China is a powerful country with a non-powerful brand meaning that people recognise the importance of China, but they don’t particularly like it. This is textbook perception problem at play here, for example, in terms of ‘Environmentalism’ China slipped further from 77th to 82nd position as China persistently conjures up negative environmental perceptions but this can be turned around quite quickly. China is now the world’s number one producer of eco-technology, something that President Hu Jintao himself is starting to focus on in his international addresses, and they are already starting to improve perceptions. China just needs to keep the momentum going to ensure that perceptions of the country continue to align more closely with the reality on the ground. A final comparison is Indonesia where the reality is that real progress in being made in the country in terms of the economy, education, justice etc., but it is still perceived poorly as a weak and inherently corrupt country.

 

Q: Was Obama’s election wholly responsible for America’s number one ranking?

A: America is always a strong brand but the Obama factor was critical. There are a wide variety of measurements however but there does seem to have been a feeling of relief that the Bush era was over. Furthermore, the election of President Obama signalled that America has ‘returned’ to its traditional progressive values that may be an effect that outlasts Obama’s influence as an individual. 

 

Q: The 2009 Top Country Brand Rankings include mostly traditional Western countries?

A: The reality of country situations on the ground are not necessarily inline with the brand strengths they maintain. The importance of the country brand’s are in how they are able to capture the audience’s imagination and as such the traditional Western countries have very powerful brands. Our research is based on a good cross section of respondents so it is clear that the more Western brands have captured the imaginations of those respondents residing in the East. Japan (overall no. 7) is an exception but its renowned distinctive culture, history and prowess in technology and business for decades has resulted in its strong brand. 

 

Q: This year Country Brand Index has included a regional ranking?

A: The regional rankings are a composite ranking which are becoming increasingly essential in the world’s geopolitical-economic shakeup. The Asia Pacific region (ranked 2nd after Western Europe) deserves special attention in that they account for seven of the Top 10 brands ranked for ‘Authenticity’, six out of the Top 10 in ‘Value for Money’ and five of the Top 10 in ‘Desire to Visit/Visit Again, Ideal for Business and Extended Business Trip’. This is a great combination basis from which to develop further.

 

Tim is the main Asia Pacific presenter of FutureBrand’s global Country Brand Index study.

China Traveller

March 2009

 

With damaging storms, upheaval in Tibet, the Sichuan earthquake and the hosting of the Beijing Olympics, 2008 was expected to be an unassuming year for Chinese outbound travel. Initial figures collected from China’s exit ports however indicate that despite all the herculean challenges met, outbound growth remained surprisingly robust for most regions.

 

With the exception of troubled Thailand, South East Asian countries benefited significantly with overall high growth rates while Europe almost universally suffered under a cloud of downturn pessimism (complete table of figures on data page, pg. 7). Growth rates were also reversed in a number of African and Latin American countries, a serious issue of concern for developing countries reliant on foreign arrivals for job creation.

 

No surprise in that Hong Kong remains the most popular destination with over 17 million Mainland travellers visiting the Special Administrative Region in 2008, closely followed by Macau with over 15 million arrivals. Neighbouring Japan remains the global destination of choice for Chinese travellers receiving 1.55 million persons at a growth rate of 6.8% over 2007. Vietnam was the second largest recipient of Chinese visitors with 1.45 million at a whopping 58% growth over 2007. It is interesting to note the disparity in figures between China and Vietnam as destination itself only recorded 650,000 visitors. The disparity can been explained due to Vietnam sharing a border with China, a consequence of which Chinese figures include local border day trips, with the Chinese persons returning on the same day, whilst Vietnamese figures only include over night stay.   

 

The order of remaining neighbouring countries with the highest Chinese arrivals include: Korea in third place (1.34 million); Singapore surpasses Thailand for fourth place with 713,000 arrivals; Thailand (624,000); Malaysia (623,000); Taiwan replaces Indonesia for seventh place (279,000); Indonesia received 248,000 arrivals on the back of impressive 46% growth over 2007 while the Philippines came in last with 163,000 arrivals on negligible 1.7% growth.

 

Travellers to Australia continued to grow at 3.7% resulting in 413,000 arrivals. Australian tourism figures also reflect lower numbers than China’s (356,400) which is partially explained by China’s numbers including all types of travellers (business, students, relative visits etc.) as opposed to pure tourism figures. New Zealand received 73,000 visitors at a growth of 7.7% over 2007. The United States, taking advantage of its fairly recent ADS (Approved Destination Status) status surged ahead with 775,000 arrivals, 8.5% growth on 2007 figures, while Canada almost reported zero growth resulting in 230,000 visitors.

 

With the exception of Russia (790,000 visitors at 7.2% growth over 2007) Europe performed poorly with Germany recording 253,000 visitors, a decline of 6.9%. The UK received 234,000 visitors (decline of 1.4% over 2007) while arrivals to France declined by 5.9% over 2007 resulting in 202,000 arrivals. The blanket drop in European arrivals has a number of influencing factors. Firstly, the number of natural calamities to hit China in 2008, along with the hosting of the Beijing Olympics, was always going to have the greatest impact on long haul destinations, and with Europe being the greatest recipient of Chinese outbound travel for so many years it was natural that for them to feel the greatest pinch. Canada, another long haul destination, as previously mentioned also reported near zero growth but the United States avoided the same fate due to its stronger business and student exchange relations with China as well as its newly acquired ADS status. Fearing illegal immigration, Europe also raised the bar on visa requirements for Chinese travellers that clearly had a direct relationship on the drop in tourist numbers. Lastly, the now infamous Olympic torch relay spectacle that occurred in Paris, protests in the UK compounded by the German Chancellor meeting with the Dalai Lama in the wake of unrest in Tibet galvanised potential Chinese tourists into an anti-Europe group.   

 

Brazil also received less visitors than in 2007 with a decline of 1.2% resulting in 23,000 visitors but the country to suffer the steepest decline in arrivals according to available information is 2010 FIFA World Cup host South Africa attracting a mere 34,000 Chinese visitors, a decline of 13.5%. In the Middle East the UAE registered robust growth of 19.8% totalling 118,000 visitors.   

 

Comparing the available Chinese figures with the actual destination arrival figures however, it becomes clear yet again the discrepancies that exist due to a number of reasons including the infamous Hong Kong/Macau factor as well as the fact that many Chinese travellers concurrently visit multiple destinations, the second and third stop, or more, of which are not reported at exit ports. Taiwan reported an additional 50,000 arrivals, while Singapore registered over 300,000 more Chinese visitors. Thailand reported an additional 150,000 plus visitors while Turkey and New Zealand reported an impressive 35,000 (more than double the Chinese figures) and 37,000 additional arrivals respectively. As allured to above, Hong Kong in particular and Macau account for much of these discrepancies serving as a hub for transferring flights.